Predict Xenoblade Chronicles X sales

[Slarvax]

Ka-pi96 said:

Slarvax said:
390k FW (launches alligned) and 1.3 million LT.

Off topic: I wish there was a rule for when "Prediction threads" should be made. Like 1 or 2 months before the game releases. Sure, it comes out in April in Japan, but at this point it's fairly difficult to make right predictions IMO.

IMO it's always hard to make predictions!

I usually just base my numbers off of whatever everyone else is saying, I really have no idea

It's simple

Compare the userbase between the system the predecessor was on (Wii vs Wii U, but Wii U has super high ratio for 1st party games released after MK8 so far), the situation between the 2 games (2 JRPGs, one that was wanted to be localized by many (which may have caused less sales) and with very limited supply in USA (less sales again, and it's biggest market). The other one has very high expectations by the new fanbase spawned in the Wii, so that likely means better sales + Shulk's appearance in Smash makes a familiar face for the hardcore), and all the pre-order numbers can be helpful.

Now, the thing that could make it difficult is... Nintendo (marketing). And in Japan it is likely to sell bad since Wii U doing very bad over, and it has no momentum whatsoever.

Lastly, the Wii U has a healthy life software-wise, so most people will go with high numbers, and HyWa showed that not so popular games can sell very good (even if it was the Zelda textures).