Ok Now for an analysis!!! The Great, The Avg, and of course The Bad! Anywayzzz lets begin! With info 1st...
*** Notes***
~3DS in US sold 2.57mil in 2014. It was at 1.25mil before the holidays (Jan-Oct) With Nov/Dec being 515k/810k (1.33mil)
~3DS 2014 avg 117k per month from Apr-Oct
~3DS is currently around 732k sold with its first 3 months.
~It would need an avg of 74k per month to be flat YoY 2014 before holidays atm (selling 517k more 3ds's)
~3DS in 2014 reached 762k by end of June. 870k by end of July. If 3DS can manage 148k for April, it be a tie 2015 4months vs 2014 7months!!
Okay analysis time!!! 5 Scenarios for April-Oct and 3 scenarios for holidays!!! Then combinations at bottom, pls understand...
*** Months April-October *** (2014 did avg of 117k same period)
Scenarios Averages Total in 7months Including Jan-Mar
1. Worse Case 75k per month 525k 1257k
2. Pessimistic Case 95k per month 665k 1397k
3. Normal Case 115k per month 805k 1537k
4. Good Case 135k per month 945k 1677k
5. Crazy Case 160k per month 1120k 1852k
*** Holidays (Nov/Dec) *** 2014: 1325k (Nov=515k + Dec=810k)
Scenarios Nov ~ Dec ~ Total
A) Worst Case 250k 400k 650k
B) Okay Case 400k 600k 1000k
C) Good Case 500k 750k 1250k
D) Wow Case 600k 900k 1500k
Combination (1-5 + A-D)
1A= 1907k
2A= 2047k
2B= 2397k
3B= 2537k
3C= 2787k
4C= 2927k
4D= 3177k
5D= 3352k
