Who will hit 20m in the US first? PS4 Vs. XB1 Vs. 3DS

[Normchacho]

Seece said:

Normchacho said:

Seece said:

Normchacho said:
hhhmmm...I'm betting PS4. The 3DS has seen a rather sharp decline in sales and the Xbox One is going to have a really hard time being competitive outside of the holidays.

Not really, depends on what Microsoft do. Their exclusives tend to be favoured by US audiences more than Sony's.

But when is the next major Xbox exclusive out? In 2014 the Xbox One had arguably the stronger exclusive lineup and they ended up behind the PS4 for the year. The only reason it was even as close as it ended up being in 2014 was because of how much more agressive MS was with their deals during the holidays. I don't think that situation will repeat itself in 2015.

XB1 exclusive line up was stronger, but all year it was marred by being more expensive than PS4 or on par, with the baggage and negativity of the previous year. Also bar Titanfall, up until the fall they didn't really have that much system selling software.

I can't claim to know what Microsoft or Sony have planned, by MS's fall exclusive line up is looking stronger right now than Sony's, you can thank Halo alone for that. MS don't have much for Q1/Q2, PS4 has some great looking games but none of them are huge brands/franchises. MS will need to strike far earlier than November tho IMO.

To the bolded part: Isn't the first 9 ish months of 2015 going to be just as baren? Worse even, since it won't have a big game to bundle the crap out of? Also, what are the odds that Microsoft will have the value advantage that they had for the 2014 holidays? 

The reason I think the PS4 will carry the U.S. is that I see MS having a weaker first half of 2015 and Sony being more competitive in the second half.