OK, I faced it: WiiU can't sell over 15M

[Metallox]

Seece said:
2012: 2.3m
2013: 3m (5.3m)
2014: 3.6m (8.9m)
2015: 3.1m (12m)
2016: 2m (14m)
2017 & beyond: 1.5m (15.5m)

Think it will just surpass 15m.

Fact of the matter if everyone and their grandma thought WiiU would do amazing this year/holiday with Smash and MK, and it's barely been on par for most of it. A price cut is not going to be more impactful. Price is NOT the problem with the WiiU.

All the games in 2015 bar Zelda are niche, and even that is small compared to MK and Smash.

2016 will see WiiU rapidly fall off like all past Nintendo home consoles have done, there is nothing to suggest it will have a leggy lifespan.

A 3D Mario title, Metroid and more sequels to already existing games on Wii U, such as Pikmin 3, a price cut and new approaches from Nintendo for the console in 2016 could help to push sales to another 3 million units. Also, many people that haven't even considered the console as a choice could grab by this point. 

 

That being said, I don't think the console will sell less than 3 million units in 2016. It wil definitely start to die out in 2017, and very hard, it's my assumption. A new platform could be announced and support from Nintendo could die by then as well. 

 

So I think annual numbers will go like this:

-2015: 2.7 million

-2016: 3.4 million

-2017: 1.6 million 

 

Overall, I think the console will barely surpass the 15 million units, unless Nintendo lauches something as incredible as Goldeneye, Metroid Prime and Wii Sports successes were. It has already one thing, Splatoon, but the company would need to be very smart, so I doubt this game will do anything.