OK, I faced it: WiiU can't sell over 15M

[zorg1000]

Seece said:
2012: 2.3m
2013: 3m (5.3m)
2014: 3.6m (8.9m)
2015: 3.1m (12m)
2016: 2m (14m)
2017 & beyond: 1.5m (15.5m)

Think it will just surpass 15m.

Fact of the matter if everyone and their grandma thought WiiU would do amazing this year/holiday with Smash and MK, and it's barely been on par for most of it. A price cut is not going to be more impactful. Price is NOT the problem with the WiiU.

All the games in 2015 bar Zelda are niche, and even that is small compared to MK and Smash.

2016 will see WiiU rapidly fall off like all past Nintendo home consoles have done, there is nothing to suggest it will have a leggy lifespan.

I would actually put 2017 & beyond sales lower if a successor releases holiday 2016. N64 & GC were both discontinued pretty damn quick after the successor released.

But ya like u said, Zelda is really the only gauranteed major seller releasing next year but with Wind Waker HD+Hyrule Warriors already out, it's very possible a large chunk of the fanbase is already on Wii U.

Honestly lifetime Wii U sales might only be what Nintendo planned to ship by March, 2014. They originally forcasted 5.5 million in the launch window and 9 million in the first full year, totaling 14.5 million.