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Wii U will 100% make it to 15M+. I mean it hasn't even hit $249, let alone $199. It also still has a few good exclusives that haven't come out, mainly Zelda and a future Mario game. Of course, I do think it will struggle to hit 25M. My guess is it will wind up around 20M-22M. Well, unless sales go nuts once it hits $199, but I don't really expect that to happen.