Seece said:
This will never happen, Nintendo systems don't peak that late (last gen Wii peaked in third year, PS360 in their 6th I think. |
2015 has many more games, including Zelda which will push consoles, and Splatoon, which I think Nintendo is going to heavily market and push to become a new Mario Kart. Then X, Star Fox, etc which will round it out nicely. Plus Christmas will no doubt see some big amiibo title.
Basically I think 2015 is where the Wii U will hit its stride. Smash and MK8 have (finally) given it some momentum and if they keep the release schedule up next year, it should maintain a reasonable level of sales.
2016, therefore, will be coming out of a good year, with some good press behind it.
Games I think we are likely to see in 2016 will be Metroid, 3D Mario, and possibly that rumoured Diddy Kong. Plus SMTxFE, possibly F Zero, maybe even an Animal Crossing.
That, with the back catalogue including MK8, Smash, Zelda and Splatoon, plus no doubt a much lower price will give it its peak.
2017 will then see it's successor announced, a few obscure titles, and a fall in sales to people buying it as a Fisher Price My First Game Console.
2018 it'll bottom out completely.
I don't think the Wii U is following the usual Nintendo sales trajectory. That first year was so bad it may as well not have happened. Which would make 2016 year 3. However, I think the drop off is going to be dramatic after Nintendo announces its next console.
