Ninsect said:
You have to agree that thinking it has only sold 13m by now is irrational. It had sold over 10m by August 9 so you think that in almost 3.5 months with Destiny white bundle, FIFA and big November sales it hasn't sold 3m more? It would only need to average 850k/month to be at 13m+ by now...In September alone it did ~535k in the US only so easily 1m+ globally that month meaning that it would need to average less than 800k/month for the rest of this time period... |
I have used the US as a benchmark for my guesswork. I guessed PS4 were around 10.5M at the end of august. If the US would account for about 45% of their total sales, this would put september sales at around 1,2M worldwide. In august, they sold only 300k in ths US, giving a number of about 670k world wide. They started of november in big style so my guess is about 800k for the first two weeks. This gives a total of 10.5+1.2+0.67+0.8= 13.17M.
I may be totally off (and I hope I am) but I would prefer to have a low estimate and be pleasantly surprised than the other way around :). 13.,5M might be more plausible, depending on how august fared.
