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Xevross said:

I reckon PS4 will be at just over 40m shipped by March 2016, so no Wii should easily be the first to 50.


Thinking in much the same way, 40-43 million shipped max by the end of March 2016. The Wii had a 24.5 million sellthrough in its second CY and was supply constrained for almost two entire years, there's just no way the PS4 can beat that. That said; regardless of a slower pace in all likelihood; the end result should be much the same given a much flatter sales curve for the PS4 in comparison.