kowenicki said:
BMaker11 said:
kowenicki said:
Conegamer said:
It's a good performance, but it's only now a matter of time until it falls a long long way behind.
As I recall it was really the second and third years which punched in the numbers for the Wii, and I have zero reason to believe the PS4 can do that we'll in the holidays.
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It had shipped 50m by the end of March 2010. Thats the equivalent of the PS4 being at 50m shipped by March 2016. Not happening.
By March 2009 Wii was at 24.4m. Thats the equivalebt of the PS4 being at 24.4m by March 2015, also not happening, probably.
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PS4 has a very good chance of shipping 18-19M by year's end. Maybe even 20M, optimistically. Nearly half that 50M after 1 full year and some change on the market? But 50M shipped by March 2016 is flat out not happening? Even though sales naturally pick up in a console's second year on the market?
And March 2009 for Wii would be 2 1/3 years on the market (Nov 2006 - March 2009). March 2015 for PS4 would be 1 1/3 year on the market (Nov 2013 - March 2015). How are those equivalents? If PS4 beats what it did this year (nearly 3M sold (not shipped) 4 months after the launch window) and it does optimistically well (as in, that 20M mentioned above), it will equal what Wii did a whole year ahead of when Wii reached that benchmark, in the same time frame.
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The Wii totals shipped:
By March of 1st year: 5.84 (4 months on sale)
March of 2nd year : 24.45 (16 months on sale) this is March 2015 for the PS4.
March of 3rd year: 50.40 (28 months on sale) this is March 2016 for the PS4.
and lol at 20 being nearly half. If they do 20 as you say then they need 30 the next 12 months... come on man!!! lol
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By April of PS4s first year, it sold 7 million. By March 2015, it could very well be at 25M. And I said 20 is nearly half because it's near 25. You know, half of 50? Hence "nearly half". And if they did that (20M) by end of December 2014, they'd need 30 in the next 15 months, actually, since you're talking about March. Or 25 in 12 months, comparing apples to apples, if they reach 25M by March 2015.
Also, I'm thinking you got the dates wrong, now. 16 months on sale from November 2006 would be March 2008, not March 2009.
