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curl-6 on 28 October 2014
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oniyide said:
curl-6 said:
oniyide said:

Um yes it is, unless you think either PS4 or xboxone is going to make up the difference in the roughly 80mil sales drop Wii U had from WIi. 280mil consoles last gen. 100 of those were Wii. Wii U isnt going to get close to those numbers. Even if PS4 or One do the same as there predecessors then they would each have to sell about 40 mil extra to make up the difference not gonna happen. 

But then again you even said in your own post that WIi U is massively down. So again its not that different from 3ds situation. If Ninty must stop doing handhelds cause they have no future there then it holds doubly true for there consoles since its doing much worse, doesnt matter that that market isnt so bad because Ninty doesnt benefit anyway

I don't think this  console gen will be down massively from last. It'll be down, but not to the degree that the handheld market is.

And just cos Nintendo screwed up with the Wii U doesn't mean future consoles couldn't possibly do better.

266mil consoles were sold last gen. 100 of those were Wiis. Now we have the WIi U doing worse than GC. Lets say that Wii U does 25mil. That is 75mil consoles lost right there just on Ninty's side. IMHO I dont think xone is going to do anywhere near the numbers of 360 outside of US and UK nobody cares. and even then they are getting stomped by PS4. itll do about 50mil. that is about 30mil down. SO now we have lose 100mil console sales. PS4 will probably do more than PS3 but it will need to add 100+ consoles to be overall even with last gen. Now if a drop of 100mil isnt massive. I dont know what is.

As for portables we dont know what they will sell. Dont know how long Sony will just keep Vita on the shelves or Ninty with 3ds. There not doing last gen numbers either but lets not pretend. Home consoles are unscathed. 

Home consoles aren't unscathed, it's true.

But handhelds sold what, 230m last gen? This gen they look set to end up at around 80m. That's a drop to a third of last gen. The home console drop won't be that severe, that would mean 90m total console sales, and PS4 alone will probably top that.