| Sullla said: The dirty secret no one wants to talk about is that a bunch of high-profile franchises exclusive to 360/PS3 are going to sell way under the numbers done by previous incarnations. The last couple Grand Theft Auto games were 10 million plus sellers - does anyone think that's going to happen with GTA4? I can't possibly see it happening, given the small install bases and high entry prices. (Compare buying a $150 PS2 for GTA3 last generation versus a $400 360 or $600 PS3. Very different.) We'll see what happens; I just think there's going to be shock and disappointment when some of these "AAA" titles struggle to sell a million copies. It shouldn't come as a surprise, but it will be. |
Ahh, interesting what you say about the AAA titles. That simply by looking at the game sales charts today you realize that games that one expect to sell, aren't selling, and vice versa (like Forza2 is a disappointment). Damn. Myself, I was wondering if the all the AAA titles would under-sell because they'd compete against each other, but you have a valid point. So in addition to the competition-factor, even if there was say, just GTA 4 and Assassin's Creed this fall, they would dissappoint in sales. I have to agree with that. It will be interesting to see. Bioshock in two months might be the first for test, or might it be Blue Dragon?
Is there a good thread for predicting sales of the AAA titles btw?
