Weekly hardware 11 October 2014

[Aerys]

prinz_valium said:

Aerys said:

prinz_valium said:

Aerys said:

DialgaMarine said:
So much for that 90K baseline for XBone after tier 2 launch. Wonder how things will go after the launch of PS4 in China.

Pretty much confirms what we told, the baseline will go back to 50-60k after the holidays

no

the baseline for 2015 will be 75 - 100k

that will depend on what ms is going to offer (skus, bundles and price)

 

but the xbox one will not go down to 50k again after this holiday.

next two weeks will be low. maybe hit 65k

It depends, if there is no price cut before summer, it will go down to 50-60k, the definitive baseline could increase with a real price cut .

But the re will be more third party games in 2015 so it wont go down too often fortunately

the lowest weekly sales were 50k with just 13 launch territories and only 1 and 1/2 skus avaialble

ofc the 2015 baseline will be higher. even in the worst possible way the tier 2 countries would increase the baseline by 5k units

 

500 japan sales

200 russia

1k tier 2 europe

300 row tier 2

3k china sales (btw ms and the chinese partner expect 1m first year sales (lets take off the launch sales and holiday + other bumps)

that would leave 500k units / 52 weeks = 9,6k each week. ms does not even achive 30% of theire forecast to increase the baseline by 3k units just form china sales

 

this doenst even take more skus, more games, more last gen owner upgrade and other suff into account.

if we see a real pricecut the baseline will become bigger ofc

Are you sure ? I think i remember some weeks around 40k .

 

Yes i checked, it even went under 40k and lowest is 34k, from April end to June and during August, the baseline went few times under 50k. Only the big releases increase the baseline for few weeks, that's why i say there are big chances it go back to 50-60k when there is no big game, which would be better than the 30-40k before the price cut and 40-50k before the big releases and new countries.