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I think a lot of people are overestimating SO. I know VGC isn't the most reliable, and neither is Amazon hourly, but Sunset overdrive is 53 on the hourly charts right now and I don't think I've ever seen it in the top twenty. Compare that to even Bayo 2 (which most people think SO will easily outsell) and Bayo 2 has been in the top 10 on Amazon hourly for almost a week.

I think SO is one of the most interesting looking XBO games so I would love to be wrong, but I have very low expectations...