| Mummelmann said: With the One set to sell about 6.5-7 million this year, it would need to experience practically no yoy growth in 2015 in order for this prediction to come true, and that seems extremely unlikely. The One had a terribly slow Q1 and Q2 this year, Kinect really dragged it into the mud and with better pricing and more great software next year; I just see it as impossible that we won't see decent yoy growth. It should manage at least 9 million sales next year imo, leaving lifetime totals at the 18-19 million mark, which is too high for the PS4 to match this year imo. |
IO think you're being too optimistic for the XBO, and negative on the PS4. XBO will be down/flat in Europe and ROW next year, and you think that we'll have 5-6 million sells in the USA for XBO? (Which is about what you'll need to get 9 mill a year, whilst being optimistic about Europe + ROW) Despite the fact that the PS4 is winning (often substantially) in the USA, which just leads to hive mentallity, which will only worsen the situatuion for the XBO. And it's not even like price cuts are an option at this point, as they've left it far too late for it to be uncomfortable for Sony to drop the price the XBO needs to drop to have a good fight. It needs a $150 price drop after christmas when Bloodborne + The Order drop to not get devoured by the PS4 (Which will sell 20mill+ in 2015).
I agree with op, I see 8mill tops for XBO at the end of this year, and 15 mill tops by the end of 2015. PS4 will be 17.5mill most likely by the end of this year. (37.5 mill end of next year).
