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With the One set to sell about 6.5-7 million this year, it would need to experience practically no yoy growth in 2015 in order for this prediction to come true, and that seems extremely unlikely. The One had a terribly slow Q1 and Q2 this year, Kinect really dragged it into the mud and with better pricing and more great software next year; I just see it as impossible that we won't see decent yoy growth. It should manage at least 9 million sales next year imo, leaving lifetime totals at the 18-19 million mark, which is too high for the PS4 to match this year imo.