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prinz_valium said:
Aerys said:
prinz_valium said:
17m is the sweet spot


ps4 sold 4.2m in 2013
oct - dec sales are generally 50% of ytd (xbox and wii got bigger Holiday quarter than playstation historically)
jan - sept 2014 ytd for ps4 is about 7 - 7.5m ( Japan Launch, supply issues and a big September)

so lets go for 40 - 45% as oct - dec sales or 6m



17m is not out of reach. but ps4 can fail that Goal. both is possible


Look at PS3 sales in the same time period, you really think PS4 cant sell at least as good as PS3, knowing PS3 was far to sell as good for the rest of the year ?


i used conservative numbers

i said just possible to fail. not likely

 

18m+ is possible, too


Well yes, since PS3 did 2,4M in December, i guess PS4 can reach at least 3M only for the month. It will also depends on Japan, we'll see if they buy at christmas even without system seller ( but the recent announcements and good futur should help  )



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m