So, Some People Thought Destiny Would Sell 30 Million or Even More. Anyone Keen to Revise their Prediction?

[outlawauron]

fleischr said:

outlawauron said:

That $500 is not the initial amount spent on Destiny. It's the alloted budget for the promised 10 years of support + development and advertising costs. They're essentially employing Budgie for 10 years! Destiny already made money on day 1, and they're going to make a killing with DLC and expansions.

Also, in order to claim people predicted it would sell 30 million or more, you need a link.

No one from Activision ever officially predicted 30 million unit sales. People on this site and elsewhere did figure on 30 million based purely on game sales without really figuring in DLC. With all the hype for the game, plenty were like "HELL YEAH 30 MILLION."  We just can't say that people never claimed or predicted it would reach 30 million unit sales though. This thread exists for a good reason.

The game has not been well-received enough to last through 10 years of support. I mean, what games from 2004 have you been continously playing for last 10 years ? Maybe WoW? Sure plenty of folks will get the expansion pass for destiny-- but it will have to be really good to get people to buy 2nd, 3rd expansion.

Let's say Destiny ends up selling 15 million total lifetime

$15 royalty * 15 million = 225 million

and half of all users buy the first expansion pass $30, round up

$30 * 8 million users = 240 million

And we're not even towards $500 million yet...

Once again, citation needed.

Yes, it's existing to troll right.

Also, the fact you think that Activision is only making $15/copy is just incredibly dumb. Despite making more than that at retail, they're making nearly triple that digitally.

@ Vance

Have you looked at sales before? It's going to sell 100k every week WW for the rest of the year, and will have a GOTY edition next year. I can't think of a scenario where it stays under 10 million. GTA4 had the same user reception (but had critical praise), and it went on to sell 20 million.