XOne vs. Wii U vs. Vita in the race to 10m

[ICStats]

prinz_valium said:

ICStats said:
Globally, PSV is doing similar numbers to 2013. In 2013 it did around 1.5M between Oct-Dec. Based on that I'd say it has a chance to reach 10M by end of the year so I pick Vita as hitting 10M first.

Another way to look at it is estimate that half of yearly sales are the holidays, so estimates by end of the year:

1st PSV 1.51 * 2 + 7.36 =10.38M
2nd Wii U 1.84 * 2 + 5.42 = 9.10M
3rd XB1 2.44 * 2 + 3.06 = 7.94M

 

PSV: 1.55 * 1.85 = 2.85 + 7.35 = 10.2M

WiiU: 1.95 * 1.9 = 3.7 + 5.4 = 9.1M

XB1: 2.70 * 2.1 =  5.7 +3.05  = 8.75M

 

that would be my guess to fit it more

Sounds reasonable enough.  I do think XB1 will get a good boost.  Titles are strong, and MS is going to be aggressive with deals IMO.

Here are numbers with 50 +/- 3% ranges:

 Vita 10.2~10.4M
 Wii U 8.9~9.4M
 XB1 7.7~8.3M

Either way my money would be on Vita getting to 10M first.