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There's a lot of things people are forgetting here...

1) 14 months means January/February '08. Meaning, in the next 7 months, the PS3 is going to have to sell *double* what it sold in the last 7 months. I don't care how big a holiday season they get (keep in mind the last 7 months includes all the launches), it's not going to make up the 3 million unit deficit they owe. Anyone guessing before 16 months needs to explain where this sudden boost in sales comes from.

2) Holiday seasons *are* walls. If the PS3 is anywhere near 8 million by October '08, (which I can't see it possibly being less than), it *will* sell past 10 million during the following two months. Everyone whose guess goes into '09 needs to explain why sales will virtually grind to a halt.