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I vote for some time early to mid 2009.

I think its much harder to match the 360 sales since the 360 released with no competition. Now that there is competition and people have 3 choices, it will be a much rougher ride. The price also hurts and its current trend of ~100k per month during non-holiday is really bad. They need to average at least 300k a month to reach 10mil by december 2008.... and i just dont see it happening now that most people who wanted one already got one. This thing is not an impulse buy like the PS2 was.