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DerNebel said:
Aerys said:
DerNebel said:

The japanese console market is collapsing or at least shrinking considerably, no point in denying that. Only a huge miracle would make any console consistently sell over 40k in Japan for several weeks in the summer. Had Mario 64 a lot to do with those N64 sales? Sure, but that still doesn't disprove the notion that the japanese market isn't what it used to be.

It's not totally what it used to be during N64 era of course,  but i dont think it shrinked from PS3 to PS4. There is no evidence about that for now. I'd see easily the PS4 reaching 8-9M, especially if the dragon quest come back is real

I doubt the PS4 will reach 10 million like the PS3, but I'll be happily proven wrong, Dragon Quest will certainly help. The overall market will still be a lot smaller than last gen, the Wii U will not come close to touching the Wiis numbers unless something unforeseen happens and the X1 looks to become a total failure from the get go. Overall I'd say the console market will be lucky to reach 15 million units across all 3 platforms in Japan this gen.

PS3 hadnt so big system sellers in fact, except good multiplatform games, a,nd  was not a joy for japan developers, so i can see PS4 getting more games than PS3, maybe not outselling it but reaching the same numbers by taking back some games  from PS2 era like DQ, it could be

Well to be fair, it's the same all over the world, Wii was an anomaly, never the 3 consoles will reach +260 M in the world. I see Wii U reaching 6M in Japan at the best since the 2 biggest seller release in 2014, after that, only bundles and price cut will help to reach such numbers. ( and maybe X since japan love mecha)



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m