In that case, even less: 3 million first year and 5 million lifetime. However, do not get me wrong, I will buy it.
Huh? I said that by the end of 2014, an entire year befor UC4 launches, the PS4 would be at 17 million, while you said that the PS4 will only have 20 million sold by the time UC4 launches (late 2015). Realistically tge PS4 will be somewhere between 33 and 40 million.