I know it seems kind of obvious but it all depends on how things go this christmas for the PS3 if it can sell around 2 million consoles like the Xbox360 did then based just off its weekly sells w/w of about 45k now which seems to be about its stable sales for the non holiday season. So removing November and December and giving the PS3 2 million in sales for those two months gives it about 4.58 to make up at around 45k a week so 4.58/.045 gives about 102 weeks so going from 7 months now plus 102 weeks you get about 32 months from now. That's not really what I think will happen just one application of the numbers for comparison the Xbox360 sells about 80k a week w/w and about 320k a month so that if you gave it a similar launch to the PS3 it would take about 7 months 57 weeks to reach 10 million or somewhere around 21 months. Hadn't really done this before just now but throw in the fact that the Xbox360 did get a boost from the Wii shortages and did compete in a market that wasn't as full as it is now with the Wii and PS3 so maybe those could account for the two months. Don't really think it would take the PS3 until March 2010 to reach 10 million and I'm probably leaving something out of those numbers although it isn't games as the Xbox360 had those and still came out fairly close to its estimate. And for comparison even though its sales haven't really stabilized yet the Wii is selling about 225k a week w/w and assuming similar conditions will reach 10 million in 7 months and about 8 weeks so sometime in late August. Feel free to tell me what I left out here besided telling me just games b/c if that was it the Xbox360 numbers would be pretty far off as well just interested as I didn't expect the PS3 to come out so badly doing a linear extrapolation and spotting the system 2 million for sales for November and December and then returning them back to their line.







