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I think the PS3 will have a decently strong Xmas this year with GTA and Haze.  Next year in the early months, MGS will help sales and once FF comes out, it will sell well.

I reckon you're right and the PS3 will do anywhere between 6-8m by the end of this year, which means it needs to do 2-4m in 4 months....it's do-able.  Especially with MGS potentially coming out early next year.

Also don't forget, that game systems notoriously do well at the start of January as well, people with Xmas money and all. 



Prediction (June 12th 2017)

Permanent pricedrop for both PS4 Slim and PS4 Pro in October.

PS4 Slim $249 (October 2017)

PS4 Pro $349 (October 2017)