When will Wii U pass up GameCube?

[ICStats]

gcube2000 said:

ICStats said:

At the current rate, and with the sparse game line up I think never.

What's going to drive sales to nearly double in 2015?

If what my prediction says happens.. Wii U would've sold through 4.87m units through 2014. 6.07m units is not double of 4.87m.

the 3.44m number is from Oct 2014-Dec 2014.. If GameCube could do 3.5m in Q4 2003 then I don't see why Wii U can't with smash bros

Zelda will drive sales. Splatoon and Xenoblade Chronicles X are in the first half of 2015. There's still games not announced yet. 2015 will also have the post-smash bros effect. Baseline in the first half of 2015 will be at least twice as high as it was in 2014. The baseline in the second half of 2015 could also be around 60k-70k. There's a lot of reasons why it can sell more than 2014 anyways.

Those GC numbers are shipments.  Real sell-through is going to follow an average of several quarters so I wouldn't use the max 3.5M or the min 0.08M shipped quarters as best indicators of GC sell-through numbers.

I think Wii U will sell between 2.0~2.5M in Oct14~Dec14.  Wii U is $300 and is missing games to broaden appeal much beyond Nintendo fans who would already buy for Mario, MK and Smash anyway.