3DS + Wii U VS PS4 + Vita

[TheBlackNaruto]

Cyrus said:
My guess:
PS4: 50
Vita: 15

WiiU: 55
3DS: 70

My numbers are based on the follwing guesses:

PS4: Release hype + good sales for the first 3 years. Then interest could fall rapidly, since it doesn't offer much value compared to a slightly higher priced PC that offers a lot more.

Vita: Already at it's peak, so i guess it won't do much more if there's not some very attractive PS4 Vita combination.

WiiU: Didn't sell good during the first 1.5 years, now slowly picking up sales numbers. It will not have huge numbers as PS4 during the first 2 years, but will continue to sell on an okish level for a much longer time.

3DS: It's close to reaching its peak, so somewhat like current sales*1.5.

The 3DS has already peaked IMO anyway. But I can see it hitting around 70 million sold though liftime. The Wii U though has NO CHANCE at all of outselling the PS4. And it is not slowly picking up sales it is kind of flat right now. The Wii U will peak before the PS4 does as well so that gives the PS4 even more time to outsell it. And PS consoles have a longer sales history and better legs than NIN consoles if I am not mistaken.

Also what makes you think the PS4 doesn't offer much value compared to a slightly higer priced PC? Or is that just your opinion? Also what is the Wii U going to do in order to catch back up to the PS4? Like what scenario do you see where the sales pick up that much and hold? I can live with your other numbers but your Wii U/PS4 numbers just seem off.