8th Gen Home Console sales will be closer to 5th than 6th

[Intrinsic]

I say more than 6th gen but less than 7th gen.

In all such gen wide predictions I think there is something most people seem to forget or exclude. Price.

Price is the main determinant of sales, and that sweet spot now is $299. In the time of the PS2 it was $199. It took the PS3/XB1 3 and 4yrs respectively to get to $299 (hard drive less 360 deosn't count) and that was when sales sky rocketed.

This gen is going to get to the $299 price point a lot sooner. I actually have it pegged for fall season next year. And this gen also has the benefits of having a number of games that if exclusive to the 8th gen can push hardware.

So my take on this is when the PS4/XB1 costs $299 and games like AC, CoD, FIFA, Madden, NBA2k15, GTA6 are all exclusive to the 8th gen sales will peak. And this peak will happen in the 8th gens 2nd year instead of the fourth year like the 7th.

The only way this doesn't happen is if MS somehow manages to close the gap worldwide this holiday season and is no more than 1-2M behind sony. But if PS4 gets a 5-7M lead over the XB1 by the end of this year and that lead grows to an 8-9M lead before E3 next year, you can pretty much guarantee that we will see a $300 XB1.