Wii sales for the future..

[super_etecoon]

Good question, Leo-J.

I would first direct everyone's attention to your signature. You predict that the Wii will, at most, reach 33 million. That is 10 million more than what has been sold to date. There are 9 months left in the year. The Wii on average is hitting 300-400,000 units a week. That is between 1.2 and 1.6 million units a month. Just using those figures the Wii will likely hit between 34 and 37 million this year. Therefore, siince one good turn deserves another, it would also be nice if you support your claim that it will only sell 33 milllion.

One thing that we all know is the effect that the Holidays have on console sales. Nearly 60 percent of sales occur between November and December every year.
Nintendo is purportedly producing 1.8 million consoles per month. If they just sell those consoles they will hit 39.2 million sold by the end of this year.

Of course, I believe they are going to increase production once again, if for no other reason than to make sure that Korea and China can get their fill as well. Combine this with the fact that they have not even begun to release multiple colors or drop the price and you can see the demand that has yet to be tapped.

I think my 43 million estimate is a little low and doesn't take into account new markets/increased production.