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Until PSP came along, no 2nd place platform in Japan had ever sold even 6 million units...so I don't think so.

NES was essentially a monopoly in Japan (except for the PC-Engine I think).

SNES slaughtered the Genesis in Japan

PS1 obliterated Saturn and N64

PS2 destroyed GC and Xbox

Wii is creaming PS3 and Xbox 360 in Japan

 

Its something like

NES generation:  Nintendo = 85%+ marketshare

SNES generation: Nintendo = 83% marketshare

PS1 generation (w/o DC): Sony = 66% marketshare, Sega/Nintendo about 17% each

PS2 generation (w/ DC): Sony = 79% (still growing), Nintendo = 12.5%, Sega = 7%, Microsoft = 1.5% 

 

In other words, unless there are three semi-viable competing platforms in Japan, one platform tends to end up with 80% marketshare or more.  Portables like GB, GBC, GBA fell into this pattern as well until PSP arrived and knocked Nintendo portables down into the 70 percentile range  



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu