@ Yakuzaice
SCEJ Were expecting sales of 250k BD and 50k downloads, so an extra 20% downloads is a rough rule of thumb. Having said that Europe and Japan are quite different so it's not neccessarily comaparable. Incidentally, last figures for GT5:P BD was around 200k in Japan, so they should be pretty close to their forecast by the time GT5 comes out.
@ Laifiel
You can download your games an infinite amount of times. You can also install the games on upto 5 different consoles/accounts (except for Warhawk, which was only installable on 1 account), so you can lend to your friends (or split the cost if you're cheap ;) ). Japanese GT5:P is sharable, so NA/PAL versions should be too.
Having said that, I prefer BD versions, I like having something physical, and you can sell it if you like too. On the downside, it's not as convenient having to take the game out the box and inserting the disc compared to just loading straight off the HDD.
As for the OPs question, I agree with others here, maybe in Europe, but not WW due to NA.
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