A 60/40 split between Kinectless and Kinected seems awfully generous. I can't imagine that happening unless Microsoft gets extremely aggressive with bundles to the point that Kinect is essentially free when compared to an unbundled Kinectless system--which is actually possible. We just have to see how Microsoft approaches Kinect from now on. If they virtually phase it out and no longer make high-profile games for it, it's done. If they still market it on even terms with the Kinectless, it might have a future.
I officially predict that it will be close while the Wii U is Nintendo's main home console but that Kinect will win because of a much longer life-span for the system it lives on.
Also, eh, we need better notation than Kinectless and Kinected. I vote "-k" and "+k", such as "XO-k" or "Xbone+k".
