People will know about the price drop when they'll see it at e3/Tv, in fact, i think most casual gamers wont know until e3.
You'd be surprised how people are uninformed or only take informations from Gamestop/Best Buy/... , so they wont know, because they wont tell to the people who want a One that the console will get a price drop, they cant, it's their business.
Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:
PS4: 17m XB1: 10m WiiU: 10m Vita: 10m







