| Shadow1980 said:
However, the XBO will likely have another bad month for May, and I have a feeling that it might struggle to beat the original Xbox, which sold 572k its first spring quarter. Assuming May is equal to or less than April it could go into June with 200-230k units, meaning that in order to match the 360's first spring the Kinect-less SKU will have to push sales to over 560k, nearly five times the sales from April, making June represent a significant majority of sales for the quarter. To even match the original Xbox's first spring, the XBO would have to sell at least 340k in June, nearly triple April's tally. There is precedent for a price cut tripling sales from the month before it went into effect, interestingly enough with the original Xbox, which saw sales in May 2002 increase to nearly three times what they were in April 2002. However, that's an outlier, and price cuts usually have more modest effects on sales. |
X1 failing to match the original Xbox in first spring quarter is pretty poor, especially given the amount of temporary price cuts already and giving away a major exclusive. 340k in June just from the Kinectless sku launch is fantasy, and is probably worse value for money than the Titanfall bundle was. If it had another massive exclusive with it then perhaps it could reach those figures, but it doesn't. The original Xbox saw a massive increase due to a $100 price cut. The new sku is $100 cheaper than the Titanfall bundle, but is arguably not better value, which the original Xbox undoubtedly was after it's price decrease.
