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Fastrabbit09 said:
metal gear solid/ps: 5.59mil
metal gear solid 2/ps2: 5.56mil

metal gear solid 3/ps2: 3.96mil

it has been in a decline since the first, even tho larger userbase for each subsequent release

now, mgs4 may do better than mgs3 because ps3 owners will be more likely to buy it as one of a dozen good games instead of one of 100 good games

however, i don't think it is much of a system seller...those who are most likely to buy it already have a ps3...others who would like to buy it won't buy a ps3 until price goes down...a decent amount will buy it, but it won't bump up sales more than a few hundred k max

while it has great name recognition, it just isn't a huge seller like u would think

Those two numbers are the only ones that matter (bolded). MGS3 was a prequel that a few were impressed with. (Came around the same time as Halo 2, so no one noticed that MGS3 was out other than the hardcore fans.) MGS4 will likely hit 5 million Lifetime, maybe even 6 million.

The bundle will have a small impact in Japan, but the US and Europe is a different story.