ZyroXZ2 said:
I think you're missing over the big picture of saying that 3.6 mil is some sort of hardware manufacturing limit rather than a prediction. Most predictions are NOT accurate. I don't mean this for Nintendo, I mean this in the general world of business. Many companies only use predictions as a "stance". If a company has liberal predictions, it usually means they expect something they've been planning/strategizing to pay off big time. If a company has conservative predictions, it usually means they expect it as a worst-case scenario. The fact that Nintendo actually sold just under their last dramatic reduction in predictions means that their plan with SM3DW didn't pay off like they wanted to, and that DKC:TF sold at worst-case scenario numbers. It does NOT mean the plan I outlined in the beginning is completely debunked! In fact, what's funny is that even that Pachter guy *GASP* expects Nintendo to exceed their latest sales predictions. Anyway, the overall point of the post was indirectly that we all have no idea what the hell is going on behind closed doors, and Nintendo has been a business for SO long, and sits on MOUNTAINS of money that there was definitely a plan, and there always has been one. It's not just some "Nintendo is stupid, and has no idea what they're doing, I could run the company better!" situation that the internet keeps making it out to be. I'm being positive because the fact is that they have plans, and always have. I think positively about what they plan, because even if your plans don't turn out the way you want them to in the end, you'll never get anywhere in life sitting around with your 20/20 hindsight talking about how they could have done it. They had plans, and sure they didn't turn out exactly the way they wanted it to, but does it mean they're stupid? Hell no, but everyone seems to think so from the comfort of their PCs and mobile phones. |
Who said 3.6 mil is some manufacturing limit? Never said that, and I don't think anybody else said it before you did.
Look, I think you're mixing too much "he said she said" in and getting off topic. I never said Nintendo is stupid. I never said they don't have a plan. Business decisions are made with a plan, hopefully with a long term plan.
You made a claim, that Nintendo was taking it slow and laid back as part of a bigger plan. You wrote "Nintendo has willingly kept the sales of the Wii U low in an attempt to minimize their losses UNTIL the Wii U itself could become profitable sold as hardware."
Your claim is under debate. Stick to the topic.
First, read your comment below....
| ZyroXZ2 said: And to the person saying they should have waited to release the console when manufacturing it was profitable... You must REALLY not know how this stuff works... In order for manufacturing processes to come down in cost, the process must be improved, refined, and most notably, done in large quantities. |
I agree with you, and more so it's why I think they did not purposefully minimize their sales. I don't think 2.8 million sales a year is good for manufacturing and sourcing efficiency, so no I don't think they waited for the cost to come down.
Second...
| ZyroXZ2 said: Did anyone else notice the absolutely crazy ramp-up in marketing and advertising for Mario Kart 8? Is it coincidence that the system is no longer being sold at a loss, either? |
Right. And now, Nintendo projected 3.6 million expectation. It's just a prediction, but it's useful to weigh the situation.
Willingly kept back sales = 2.8 million sold
Crazy marketing + MK8 + Smash = 3.6 million expectation
Something doesn't measure up. The underlined parts are facts & official Nintendo statements, the "willingly kept back sales" is your conjecture which doesn't seem to belong.
My opinion, last year Nintendo overestimated demand and were caught off guard. This year Nintendo has simply saved it's marketing dollars for it's biggest game.
