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April/May.
April should be a good indicator of how well the consoles do without major releases. That alone should be sufficient.
May will give us information of how well next gen will do in the summer.
With both of these months,we should be able to decrease our error by at least 1 order of magnitude, which should be more than enough considering we are predicting console sales here.
Until then, front-loading is a viable, if equal unsubstantiated counterpoint, since it also depends on how well these consoles do in the coming months.



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