When will PS3 Surpass Xbox360?

[Gballzack]

No, Nervous is the rampant PS3 "It's-gonna-be-alright" threads clogging the Sony forums. Your reply itself seems pretty nervous in fact.

Listen, using the current trend in sales its impossible for the PS3 to surpass the 360, because the 360 is still selling more globally. Sure this might change, but I can't imagine the PS3's sales sky rocketing in any longer term sence over any game.

Many seem to be under the delussion that since a certain franchise sold so well on the PS2 that it at least has to sell just as well on the PS3. Did it ever occur to you that the PS3 could act as a limiting factor to a game's potential success?

Gran Turismo 3 sold 14m plus copies over the course of its life on a console with a 120m plus instalation base and moved at most 3-5 million $300 PS2s during its three month launch on a 12m plus instalation base (and that's quite a gratious estimate I assure you).

Gran Turismo 4 sold 8m plus copies over the course of its life on a console with a 120m plus instalation base and moved at most 3-5 million $200 Ps2s during its three month launch on a 90m plus instalation base (and that's quite a gratious estimate I assure you).

How many copies do you think 5 can sell on an instalation base of 4m at launch (one third the base GT3 had and twice the price per console). How many $600 PS3s do you honestly think it can realistically move?