^ maybe you see it different, but I read what you said and it validates what I said - you used qualitative factors about the 3 consoles to make a better estimate.
- It's easy to say Sony & MS have a similar market, so they will just split it.
- It's also easy to say Wii enlarged the market by appealing to a different audience.
This is why if you want to talk about the market shrinking, you have to split it at least into two components and analyze:
- Is the core market Sony & MS appeals to growing or shrinking?
- Is the new Wii audience growing or shrinking?
I think people say the market will fall from 260 Mill to 200 Mill to spite Sony & MS. Instead of admitting Wii U lost the most of the Wii's new temp audience, it feels better to just say "the market is shrinking".
