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ICStats said:

So how big of a bump do people think MK8 will give in the first month from it's release? I would think 100~200k.

Maybe I am looking in the wrong place but looks MK Wii didn't make a bump at all in Wii sales in it's release. Actually sales were down in Apr/May 08 than Mar 08.

http://www.vgchartz.com/tools/hw_yoy.php?reg=Global&start_year=2008&end_year=2009&console=

The weekly changes are more interesting to look at:

Week of Mar 1st 2008

Wii 364,846 (+42%)
Wii 236,802 (-35%)
Wii 323,737 (+37%)
Wii 428,612 (+32%)
Wii 273,818 (-36%)
Wii 372,796 (+36%)
Wii 301,517 (-19%)
Wii 394,830 (+31%)  [MKW in EU+JP]
Wii 315,236 (-20%)
Wii 645,420 (+105%) [MKW in US]
Wii 375,147 (-42%)
Wii 301,260 (-20%)
Wii 558,375 (+85%)  [Wii Fit in US]
Wii 376,143 (-33%)
Wii 333,863 (-11%)

MKW release in JP+EU was almost lost in the noise.  US had a 300% bump in release week, and quik drop off.


IT would be better to compare to the gamecube



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m