If the X1 does not pass the Wii U by the end of this year, will you be shocked?

[Torillian]

Seece said:

Sounds like typical holiday sales hat every product gets. Vita was selling 7 x what it normally sells too. Every product does. That isn't what he meant by Nintendo holiday effect.

Very true, for a Nintendo holiday effect to have any baring on this thread's prediction Nintendo would have to get a larger bonus than the competitors.  If everyone gets a 200% bonus during the holidays that's actually going to work against Nintendo if the current sales spread remains the same.