awesomeabe1998 said:
ICStats said:
awesomeabe1998 said:
michael_stutzer said:
Wii U won't reach 30 million. It will be lucky to sell 20 million and even that is very unlikely. 70% is also unlikely but around 60% is quite possible. I am not saying it would definitely happen, but it is far from impossible. |
Ok Michael Pachter. Your post became so irrelevent after the first sentence. It showed how much of a fanboy you may be. The Wii U will sell 20 mil easy and maybe 50 mil as well.
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Sorry but you also have to be a huge fanboy to believe what you said.
At this point it's reasonable to take GC as a maximum (21 million lifetime), and Wii U would have to improve it's state objectively to get there. GC was selling better than WIi U at this point, and had more support.
Subjectively I also see that Wii U has a negative image around it. I have a Wii U, and when I talk about it even with people who liked the Wii they have nothing good to say about it, and a lot of doubt about the concept.
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I actually have some reason to my post. If Wii U has almost as bad years as its first then it would sell at least 35 mil by 2019
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Wii U sold 3 million in it's worst year, so if it keeps selling at it's worst I don't know where you can get 35 mil from. You mean by 2024?
| Then you have 6 more years of great system sellers that will add around 10 mil. That comes up to 50 mil and that is if the Wii U sells horribly. |
Six more years of great system sellers? So in total over 7 years? What example can you give of Nintendo supporting it's console well for over 7 years?
With how Wii U is, it's likely to get only a couple more years support and a quick replacement.
*I'm not a crystal ball reader, this is just an objective analysis.
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It did not do 3 million in its worst year. It was like 4.5 million. Multiply 4.5 by 7 and it will still be over 30 million. The reason behind Nintendo supporting the Wii U for another six years is that they have games yet to be released that will come out in late 2015 and early 2016. So it will last another 2 years. If Nintendo supported the GC for around 6 years then it will support the Wii U. Oh and about the GC selling more than Wii U at this point, It had some of the best games of all time and it still did not sell as expected. If Wii U gets to around 12 million this year then it will not be discontinued. Also, you do know that it takes years to make a finished console. Around 5 years. So that gives Wii U 4 more years without being considered of being discontinued.
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"It did not do 3 million in its worst year. It was like 4.5 million. Multiply 4.5 by 7 and it will still be over 30 million."
Nintendo's latest Wii U projection is 2.8 Million for the fiscal year. It has never been 4.5 million in any 1 year period.
"The reason behind Nintendo supporting the Wii U for another six years is that they have games yet to be released that will come out in late 2015 and early 2016. So it will last another 2 years."
2 years =/= 6 years
If you keep rounding up and padding numbers I doubt you're going to be happy with the actual results.
