Another thing to look at is PS4 vs XBO only. Sure we could end up with PS4 63% 120/50/20 split. But, considering that the mass majority of 3rd party games are already XBO/PS4 today, market share vs XBO may be more important than overall share. In this case 120/50 would give PS4 70% share on consoles with 3rd party games.
Even at that though I think 70% is low balling things. PS4 has no real weakness. Even PS2 had weaknesses, almost no HDD support, worse online, and worse graphics. Everything Xbox and X360 had over PS2 and PS3 Sony has either fixed or turned into an advantage with PS4.
I think PS4 could see 70% market share soon.
JAN 2016
PS4 45M 70% / 80%
XBO 11M 17% / 20%
WiiU 9M 13%
At this point I expect it to march higher and higher as its 80% market share on 3rd party platforms starts pushing some publishers exclusive. As the market starts to expand more and more into China and India, I expect PS4 to gain a lot of ground. Due to the very PC like architecture the system will reach prices 360/PS3 have still not reached today. Add in subsidized sales as PS+, PS Now, Cloud TV, Music/Movies Unlimited, and other services start to rake in serious profits, and PS4 should beat PS2 as the best selling console of all time.
2020
PS4 190M 79% / 86%
XBO 30M 13% / 14%
WiiU 20M 8%
Stop hate, let others live the life they were given. Everyone has their problems, and no one should have to feel ashamed for the way they were born. Be proud of who you are, encourage others to be proud of themselves. Learn, research, absorb everything around you. Nothing is meaningless, a purpose is placed on everything no matter how you perceive it. Discover how to love, and share that love with everything that you encounter. Help make existence a beautiful thing.
Kevyn B Grams
10/03/2010
KBG29 on PSN&XBL
