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TheLegendaryWolf said:
40%-45% is much more likely.

That's almost certain by next November.  MS and Nintendo will certainly have a big push which may temporarily reverse things, but Sony is very likely to reach such a high point by then, and be in a position to extend it beyond 50% to 60%+ long term.  Either Nintendo/MS bailing early to start a new gen will just lock in Sony's marketshare advantage this-gen.