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Just with MK (and a MK bundle), and Smash Bros. alone, the Wii U should be able to sell more than 3 million in 2014. Let alone the other games coming out, including ones not yet announced.

Sales were down in 2013 because of an extreme lack of games until late in the year. That is not the case in 2014, so selling closer to 5 million in a year certainly isn't a stretch.