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Soundwave on 05 February 2014
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Viper1 said:
Soundwave said:


We are reaching the point where by fall 2015 even Nintendo will have access to widely mass produced mobile chips that are capable of generating Wii U like graphics at an affordable price. By then even Vita will be dated tech, Nintendo will be able to get something 4-5x more powerful with 2GB of RAM under the hood and still be able to sell it for under $250. 

3DS sales will be in major decline by 2015 btw. Just watch and see how it plays out this year, it will be like clockwork. Nintendo no longer can just dictate how long consumers should remain interested in something, they are going to have to adapt with a fast moving mobile industry or be left behind. Simple as that. 

The availability and cost of the tech is irrielevant if the architectures are vastly different to the point that it makes it difficult to port.

But even that's beyond the point.  The main point is that we will not have a new Nintendo portable console to succeed the 3DS in 2015.  I know want to poitn to the short life of the GBA but if you recall, the DS was not released as a successor to the GBA but rather a "3rd pillar" in their platform strategy.  GBA's short life came a result of the ability of the DS to be a GBA itself along with vastly suprior feature sets and games.   GBA was cut short because of the unexpected success of the very unconventional and risky DS taking over as the portable of choice. 

While there is some slight YoY downward trending of the 3DS, it is by no means enough to warrant the need for a new portable device so soon.


The 360 architecture is completely different from say the PS4 or Wii U ... developers have managed to port to completely different architectures before, Nintendo has a new R&D department, time for them to step up and figure that out. 

I think what you guys are missing with a new Nintendo portable is it's going to be a bit of a mind f*ck for some Nintendo fans because it's not the typical Nintendo platform transition that you guys are used to. 

The next Nintendo handheld will start a new era of Nintendo hardware transitions that is not going to be like the past at all, it will transition Nintendo to being more like Apple/Google ... the old way is finished. 

Really it's kind of an insane business model to reboot your userbase completely to 0 every 5-6 years and have to start from ground zero, especially in Nintendo's case since they have to do everything on their platforms with little 3rd party support ... it just doesn't make sense anymore and I think Iwata clearly said that in the investor's briefing last week. 

A new Nintendo portable platform will *help* the 3DS ... not deter it. It will let a company like Capcom release Monster Hunter 5 on 3DS in 2016, even if its sales have started to definitely decline by then, because they can also release the same game on new Nintendo platform in HD and get extra sales that way. Win win for everyone.