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Mummelmann on 29 January 2014
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eFKac said:
Mummelmann said:
Conegamer said:
Pretty darn horrific really all round. I doubt even the PS4 will do well.


I agree with this. I think it will have a decent launch week (250k + perhaps) but won't have earth shattering lifetime sales. Like I've said before; I'll be shocked if any home console gets close to the 10 million mark in the 8th gen, just can't see it happening. The PS4 doesn't have the problem of being situated too close to the mobile/tablet market, but it has another one; the PS brand has turned increasingly into a Western centric product and the software on it the same, even from the Japanese developers.

Japan will, simply put, be rather boring for all of us in the 8th generation of consoles.


Damn, I don't like the long-term bets, cause I have no idea where I will be, you will be, or vgchartz will be in 6 years, but I'm really tempted to offer you a bet that PS4 will pass 10million mark in Japan lifetime...

Remember, the PS3 is at about 9.8 million Japan and we're all seeing it have a fairly long life over there, it's been out for over seven years in that region and had some pretty great software to boot. Now, I expect the 8th gen to be shorter by a fair bit and the Japanese market is seen to move farher and farther away from home consoles, the Wii has managed about 12.8 million there, which is about 12% of the total lifetime sales, in comparison; the PSP has sold almost 20 million units in Japan despite having a smaller userbase globally by about 20% or so, this is a whole 23-25% of the total lifetime sales in Japan.

The PS2 has sold around 21.5 million in Japan, even with the differenc in global sales between that and the PS3, this is a sign of a downwards trend for home consoles; especially considering the 75% global market share the PS2 had. Home consoles simply aren't a big thing in Japan any longer, especially with the whole market taking such a huge turn towards Western philosophies on design in both hardware and software.

I stand by my statement; no home console will sell 10 million in Japan in the 8th gen, regardless of global userbase.