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magoghm said:

PS3 + XBox 360 sales = 160 million

Even if all of those customers decide to buy a PS4 (unlikely to happen) you're still 40 million short. Where are those customers going to come from? It's not going to be from people who bought a Wii (we now they don't care about how powerful a console is, they wouldn't have bought a Wii if they did).

Cause there aren't kids growing up right now that will in the next couple years get their first console? Because markets that haven't been big in the past can't grow to become more important in the gaming business? I'm not saying that 200 million PS4s are realistic, but it is very well possible that the gaming market is going to grow in the next couple years.

OT: I don't think 200mil is likely, but every week we get new data I start to believe more in my own prediction that the PS4 will outsell the 3DS+Wii U combined.