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Mars said:
wii wont even come close to PS2 sales, it wont even break 100 mill.

Nintendo know that them selfs, if they believed wii to be a long term console with such huge sales they would have met demand. But they are smart enough not to blow billions on new manufacturing plants when high sales will be short lived.

The high sales may be short lived.  If sales were slowing even a little, you might have something to go on, but they aren't, so you don't.  The Wii is selling phenominally well, and it has yet to gain much 3rd party support.  As 3rd parties begin to take the system seriously (and they'll have no choice not to, given it's sales), it's game library will expand, giving the console longevity far past it's initial hype.