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Max King of the Wild said:

With Nintendo lowering it's FY forcast of the Wii U to 2.8m, I don't see a 100% increase YoY.

So, by March 2015 I am predicting Nintendo will announce less than 12.5m Wii U's shipped. Now, since this prediction is based on Nintendo's internal forcast it is only valid if Nintendo isnt lowballing themselves.

A bunch of you will say, "not really risky prediction." Alot will say, "Nintendo will easily reach that. Smash and MK 'nuff said." It really is a risk though considering 6m was on the low end people expected this year and the following year will be Wii U's peak. I dont think anyone would have expected so low for the best year.

I agree.  Actually I think they will do 4.5M, give or take.  (Plus note I'm not a Nintendo hater; I have a Wii U and like it).

The reason is manyfold.

1) They have more competition now.  People will be watching the new titles on PS4/ONE when considering a console purchase.
2) 3rd party has mostly abandoned Wii U.  I don't think 1st party alone can sell enough.
3) I wouldn't expect big price reductions this year.  They just recently reduced, and to cost reduce hardware you have to actually sell hardwre at high volumes.



My 8th gen collection